KPI Briefing: Rhode Island Economic Growth Stalls in Q4, Continues to Lag Region and Nation

PROVIDENCE, RI – Rhode Island’s economy continues to lag the New England region and the United States in several indicators of economic growth according to the Rhode Island Key Performance Indicators (KPI) Briefing for the fourth quarter of 2022, released today. The briefing, completed by The Center for Global and Regional Economic Studies at Bryant University and the Rhode Island Public Expenditure Council (RIPEC), also found that after several quarters of economic growth, Rhode Island’s unemployment rate increased, but the state experienced no major changes in the remaining three of four key economic indicators.

“Rhode Island’s economy has improved over last year, but we saw very little change— positive or negative—in most key economic indicators for the fourth quarter of 2022,” said RIPEC President and CEO Michael DiBiase. “While experiencing little change this quarter, Rhode Island’s economic trajectory continues to lag behind New England and the U.S., highlighting a need for the state to sharpen its focus on economic development and improving the business climate.”

There were 8,100 fewer Rhode Island-based jobs in Q4 2022 than before the pandemic. The Ocean State has regained 90.8 percent of all jobs lost, somewhat lower than the New England region (91.7 percent of jobs regained). The U.S. overtook its pre-pandemic level of jobs in Q3 2022.

The number of employed Rhode Islanders was up by 6,100 over pre-pandemic levels, even as employment fell by 1,900 (0.3 percent) in Q4. The number of unemployed Rhode Islanders increased significantly, by 3,700 quarter-over-quarter, as the state’s labor force participation rate marginally increased (from 63.7 to 63.8 percent). Rhode Island’s unemployment rate of 3.5 percent was up from 2.9 percent the previous quarter and on par with the regional and national rate.

Net sales tax receipts, an indicator of demand in the economy, decreased slightly by 0.5 percent (seasonally adjusted) in Q4.

In Q3 2022, Rhode Island’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased 1.8 percent (annualized). Both New England and the U.S. experienced significantly greater increases (2.7 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively). GDP data from Q4 2022 are not yet available.

The data set used to create the Briefing is available here.

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